I dont think you should take that away from me.. Miller cited seeing some retail and light industrial development around the county in recent yearsa Bass Pro Shops store in Bowling Green, a 1 million-square-foot expansion for First Solar in Perrysburg in 2018, and downtown revitalization in Bowling Green. Now, just because my president is Republican, I expected a swing to the right, but what we have nowthey broke the whole pendulum. He also believes many local Biden voters made the decision to vote for the Democratic candidate years ago, but theyre not going to be vocal about it.. 16 of 17 Bellwether Counties Went for Trump - Stillness in the Storm They take pride in going to work, owning their home, having that simple life. Since then, he has been doing odd jobs, such as cutting grass or trimming trees for neighbors. After the 46-state landslide, James Farley, Roosevelts campaign manager, revised the theory: As goes Maine, so goes Vermont.. The upper Midwest, upstate New York, and northern New England are home to a disproportionate share of high-scoring counties, they said. Hes concerned about big government, burdensome regulations, and encroachments on the Constitution. What Is An Election Bellwether? : NPR Its going to cause stealing, probably more riots, and all that., Weve had flu around forever, different strains of it. Nestled along Lake Erie in the northwest of. The counties tend to be clustered in the Midwest and the Northeast, with only four of the counties not falling into one of those regions, they said. Bellwether counties went overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020 Because the man made a lot of promises in 2016, and I think that he stood up and he kept every one of those promises that he could possibly keep, said Ron Fannin, 69, the local courthouse supervisor. Both Jacobs and her husband switched to Republican and Ive never looked back, she said. Elk Countys approximately 15,000 residents that go to the polls have voted for the eventual winner in all but three presidential elections since 1932in 1940, 1968, and 2012. The 19 bellwethers tend to be poorer, whiter, older, and less educated than the rest of the country, according to an August paper by researchers from the University of Denver and University of New Hampshire. A 75-year-old retiree who owned a transportation and logistics business didnt want to be named and told The Epoch Times hes been skeptical of government since he was 30. The 19 bellwether counties are highlighted in red. He pissed off a lot of people. One major planned project in Wood County pulled outPeloton, an exercise bike and interactive exercise equipment manufacturer. Armagost was lucky during the shutdowns, as bike shop repairs and maintenance were considered essential and he remained in business. With unfounded fraud claims swirling, red California county dumps We just couldnt believe that Trump had lost.. This shows not only his strength but also the level of polarisation that took place in the 2020 elections.. Longtime Rep. Marcy Kaptur, a Democrat who has been in Congress since 1983, is running for reelection; Teresa Gavarone and J.R. Majewski are competing in the GOP primary. Results from 28 counties have still not been finalized, per Brookings Institution. He received his bachelors degree in mechanical engineering from the University of Toledo and a Masters degree in electrical engineering from Northwestern in Illinois. The Fall of the Bellwether Counties - Election Fraud at a Glance Im looking at both sides of it. On Sept. 14, a federal judge ruled Wolfs shutdown and restrictions on businesses unconstitutional, but the governor has since appealed. Donald Trump Won Record 16 Bellwether Counties - Swarajyamag Enforce the ones that you do have, he said. Our infrastructure is in bad shape.. And then theres Vigo Countyin Indianathe quintessential bellwether that has correctly picked the winner in all but two elections since 1888. For Brendon, another resident of Riley who declined to disclose his last name, his spiritual belief will lead him not to vote at all this year. Two states have announced recounts. Over the past nearly 40 years, presidential elections have observed an intriguing phenomenon: 19 counties in the nation have always voted for the winner, be it Republican or Democrat. The Epoch Times spoke with some voters in Terre Haute and surrounding towns on Oct. 20 to get a glimpse of the bellwether mood ahead of the presidential election. Unbridled Evil: The Corrupt Reign of Jiang Zemin in China. The Democrats who are vying for that partys nomination are Morgan Harper, Traci Johnson, and Tim Ryan, who has been serving in Congress for the past 2o years, or 10 consecutive terms. Its kind of like used-car salesmen: if their lips are moving, theyre probably lying.. I look at the picture of what hes doing for my country.. I quit voting once out of the union.. Not as large or as well-known as its more eastern cousin, Luzerne County, where much of the election attention has been focused, Elk County is just as accurate in predicting who will be the next commander in chief. Its education level is a little lower25 percent have a bachelors degree or higher, compared to, nationally. I tend to vote my morals, Myers told The Epoch Times. Figure 1 Counties expected to have unbroken or near unbroken string of correct matches with national election outcome if each county has a 50 percent chance of voting for the winner. The ongoing coronavirus restrictions seem to be nudging people to the right, but six weeks out from the election and with the October surprises still to come, the Keystone State could be the clincher for either candidate. Given the global context of Russias invasion of Ukraine, they believe higher gas prices and inflation is coming, and theyre not happy about it. Jim Hoft. Jacobs believes theres more enthusiasm for Trump now than before the 2016 electionin Elk County and around the country. Mike DeWine is running for reelection and facing candidates Joe Blystone, Jim Renacci, and Ron Hood in the primary. Its just stupid, she said. They've been dubbed "bellwether counties" and until this year,. Its home to four universities, filled with many Democratic-leaning students. Haotian Chen is a Ph.D. student in political science at the University of California, Irvine. She said she almost never votes, but this year decided to vote for President Donald Trump. Only one, Clallam County in Washington, went for former Vice President Joe Biden and only by about a three-point margin. Tom Wolf overstepped his boundaries during the pandemic. The bellwether scores map highlights the fact that many states have a good bellwether county or two, even if they did not make the list of the 19 counties which have always voted for the winning candidate, they said. Thus it would appear that bellwether. Just two have populations in excess of 100,000, the authors said. He said Vigo County is fairly evenly divided between those who identify as Republicans and those who identify as Democrats. Republican registrations have increased from 8,467 on Nov. 9, 2016, to 9,960 as of Sept. 17 this year. (Charlotte Cuthbertson/The Epoch Times). Delaware's Kent County last missed in 1992. bellwether - Political Dictionary Both Hidalgo and Valencia County, New Mexico, are close to 60 percent Hispanic, while Westmoreland County in Virginia is almost one-third black. Your email address will not be published. We believe that there are two main reasons. A small-business owner, who didnt want to be identified, said hes voting for Biden. Its gone, Jacobs said. The county is more white than the rest of the nationabout, nationally, according to census data. He is his own worst enemy.. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Since he became a Christian in the mid-1990s, he said hes used his moral compass to determine his vote. He cares about the American people.. The ones he lost went to Biden by a margin of about 4 points on average. Election bellwether counties in the United States are counties that vote in alignment with the country as a whole in United States presidential elections, so that the county votes for the candidate who ultimately wins the election. We need to be safe, and I dont think we are right now.. And we just want that to continue. Ron DeSantis, Miller said he likes Gov. Until we have term limits for politicians, this country doesnt have a prayer.. I think a lot of us are fighting against socialism. Tisdell wanted to find out for himself, so he began to do his own research, reading mainstream news on both sides, as well as reports by independent citizen journalists. But, just within the last year, the price of everything has gone up. People are so worked up about it all the time, stressed out. I just dont think hes capable of doing the job that its going to require of him.. Hawker told The Epoch Times he voted for Trump in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, and if he wouldve been re-elected, the country wouldnt be facing the problems they are having now. Things have been bad for so long, they dont care.. The sentiments of those arriving at or leaving the Kroger grocery down the street in Port Clinton echoed those at the gas station. As for the pandemic, he doesnt think Trump has done a bad job on that. Ottawa County in Ohio has been on target every four years since 1964, and Bexar County in Texas (San Antonio) has had only one miss since 1928 (preferring the Democrat Hubert Humphrey in 1968). Farming also is huge here. Its horrible. For example, if we call a county a bellwether if it has one less correct match than the number of elections in a sequence, we will get nearly 19 bellwethers even in a set of eleven elections, and in a set of seven elections, we will see 197 bellwethers far more than the 27 we would find under our assumptions when we require a bellwether to have an unblemished record of predictive success. Tammy, who didnt want to provide her last name, told The Epoch Times that during the summer leading up to the 2020 presidential election, the area had a regatta on Lake Erie in Marblehead in support of Donald Trump. He soon lost his car, because he fell behind on license plate fees. Those counties were: Warren County, Ill. Vigo County, Ind. Sam said he has noticed that the farmers arent happy, and their kids have to take a side job in the factory because of the economic situation. He also drives more than 40 miles from Marblehead to Wellington to pick up his truck. Epoch Times: "Bellwether Counties Went Overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020" Myerss morals include being respectful to others, and he thinks Trump has failed in that regard. MORE evidence: It looks like Biden outperformed only in counties that That was a blow to the area, Miller said about Peloton ending its plans for a $400 million project. (Cara Ding/The Epoch Times). Peoples common sense level is cooked. We have to stand and fight for the constitution our forefathers created. Note: This article gives the views of the author, and not the position of USAPP American Politics and Policy, nor the London School of Economics. Residents who were asked about any candidate choices tended to be true to their reputation as a bellwether county, with more of a wait-and-see type of attitude of seeing whos going to step up as a presidential candidate in 2024. Wood (population 132,248), and Ottawa, are known as bellwether counties for picking the presidential candidate who wins the White Housebut it is uncertain whether Wood County can maintain that reputation. He said hes had trouble getting a job for much of his life, because he was found guilty of a felony drug offense as a young man. Right after we saw the results of the election and that Trump had lost, we were all like, what the hell?, said Tammy, a bartender at Wee Willys Sports Pub in Marblehead. Bellwether County Portends a Red Pennsylvania in 2020 Election County residents had voted for the presidential candidate who won the White House for nearly 60 years, since Democrat Lyndon Johnson won in 1964, according to the Ottawa County Board of Elections. Weve never done that before.. We need election reform.. Im not happy with the way things are now. In 2020 the expansion also began generating $898,000 a year for the next 15 years for Lake Local Schools. MORE PROOF OF FRAUD: 16 of 17 Bellwether Counties Went for Trump HAS With respect to the notion that bellwethers are demographically representative, this appears not to true. This includes personalizing content and advertising. Those who believe that Donald Trump won the 2020 presidential election have held up his victories in many bellwether counties as evidence of electoral fraud. Overall, the county is in good shape, and has a lot going for it.. With a fragile economy following the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic, Ohio is eyeing the May 3 primary election with Wood County at somewhat of a standstill. Because of the current situation, I have to look at our finances and say, Can I get this new truck, can I hire these two to three new employees, can we go into this new line of business? Over the past nearly 40 years, presidential elections have observed an intriguing phenomenon: 19 counties in the nation have always voted for the winner, be it Republican or Democrat. Eleven of the 19 were located in just six Midwestern states, and Wisconsin alone is home to four, they said. Epoch Times: "Bellwether Counties Went Overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020" Find UFOs, The Apocalypse, New World Order, Political Analysis, Alternative Health, Armageddon, Conspiracies, Prophecies, Spirituality, Home Schooling, Home Mortgages and more, in: Rumor Mill News Reading Room, Current Archive In West Terre Haute, across the Wabash River from Terre Haute, Bobby Tisdell, a 38-year-old forklift driver, plans to cast his first vote on Election Day. No one who spoke to The Epoch Times had anything positive to say about Wolfs continued shutdowns in the state. He isnt so sure about Biden. Florida's I-4 corridor: Where presidents get picked However, the political viewpoints of its residents are mixed as they have become more wary and leery of the government. But hes pleased with how Trump has run the country and is eager to reelect him. The Epoch Times Thu, 19 Nov 2020 21:41 UTC Jacobs said she absolutely intends to vote in person on Nov. 3. That is a very good thing to have. 2016 Trump. Bellwethers ability to predict the winner has been attributed to a large population of voters willing to switch party preference from one election to the next. Former President Trump and his supporters continue to loudly assert that he really won the 2020 election even though all the alleged direct evidence of fraud has not passed the sniff test of local courts, including those with Republican judges. January 4, 2021: Rep. Jordan tweets an Epoch Times article about his effort to challenge Electoral College votes. We need jobs up here, good-paying full-time jobs, she added. Unfortunately, however, neither of the reasons for why we might think that previous bellwethers will continue to be bellwethers is valid. The expansion for First Solar was made possible by changes in the U.S. Corporate Tax Policy during the Trump administration. I think all politicians are crooks. But theyre happy with that and theyre proud of what they created. Workforce shortages are mostly everywhere, he said. As part of The Epoch Times Association, Inc., a nonprofit organization we stand outside of political interests and the pursuit of profit, to educate readers about today's most critical issues . There are three counties that voted with the eventual winner for each of the past 10 elections,. Finally, numerical bellwether scores for all 3142 counties in the US were computed based upon the number of . At 6:30 pm we kick off an evening that showcases and celebrates Ukrainian arts and culture. The shift is evident when comparing current registrations with the 2016 numbers. The updated report showed that Biden won 509 counties, while Trump won 2,547 counties. The farther we get from the November election, the more time data analysts and others have to examine the most unlikeliest of election victories by Democrat Joe Biden. She registered as a Democrat about 40 years ago and has never bothered to change her affiliation, although she voted for Trump in 2016 and plans to do the same this year.
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